Pre-tourney Rankings
Mount St. Mary's
Northeast
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.2#262
Expected Predictive Rating-7.8#284
Pace69.7#182
Improvement-0.5#203

Offense
Total Offense-7.0#321
First Shot-5.0#302
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#307
Layup/Dunks-1.1#231
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#298
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#146
Freethrows-1.9#298
Improvement-3.2#304

Defense
Total Defense+0.8#151
First Shot+1.9#112
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#284
Layups/Dunks-2.5#279
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#164
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#12
Freethrows-0.9#233
Improvement+2.6#47
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 22   @ Maryland L 56-80 2%     0 - 1 -6.3 -7.0 +0.1
  Nov 15, 2015 69   @ Ohio St. L 54-76 6%     0 - 2 -11.0 -10.0 -1.6
  Nov 19, 2015 56   @ Washington L 67-100 5%     0 - 3 -20.3 -11.7 -2.3
  Nov 21, 2015 27   @ Gonzaga L 56-101 3%     0 - 4 -28.6 -15.4 -9.1
  Nov 26, 2015 156   @ Elon L 74-79 18%     0 - 5 -1.6 -7.4 +6.4
  Nov 27, 2015 168   Furman L 60-69 29%     0 - 6 -9.5 -8.0 -2.4
  Dec 01, 2015 311   American W 81-56 74%     1 - 6 +12.1 +11.3 +2.7
  Dec 05, 2015 294   Loyola Maryland W 85-68 70%     2 - 6 +5.3 -8.7 +11.3
  Dec 08, 2015 171   Bucknell W 81-73 40%     3 - 6 +4.4 +0.5 +3.4
  Dec 12, 2015 328   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 63-75 62%     3 - 7 -21.3 -19.5 -1.4
  Dec 19, 2015 193   @ Lehigh L 73-76 25%     3 - 8 -2.1 +7.3 -9.6
  Dec 22, 2015 97   @ James Madison L 53-73 9%     3 - 9 -11.4 -15.6 +4.6
  Dec 29, 2015 317   @ Binghamton L 53-62 57%     3 - 10 -16.9 -20.4 +4.0
  Jan 02, 2016 287   LIU Brooklyn W 79-63 68%     4 - 10 1 - 0 +5.0 -3.1 +7.7
  Jan 04, 2016 274   St. Francis Brooklyn W 44-40 OT 65%     5 - 10 2 - 0 -6.2 -27.1 +21.1
  Jan 07, 2016 351   Central Connecticut St. W 73-62 91%     6 - 10 3 - 0 -9.7 -8.7 -0.7
  Jan 09, 2016 343   Bryant L 79-82 2OT 85%     6 - 11 3 - 1 -20.4 -10.6 -9.5
  Jan 14, 2016 306   @ Robert Morris W 76-52 52%     7 - 11 4 - 1 +17.4 +3.1 +13.8
  Jan 16, 2016 297   @ St. Francis (PA) W 82-72 49%     8 - 11 5 - 1 +4.0 +10.7 -5.9
  Jan 21, 2016 298   @ Sacred Heart L 71-76 49%     8 - 12 5 - 2 -11.0 -2.9 -8.3
  Jan 24, 2016 269   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 87-72 41%     9 - 12 6 - 2 +11.3 +1.2 +8.7
  Jan 28, 2016 306   Robert Morris W 70-49 73%     10 - 12 7 - 2 +8.6 +0.2 +9.7
  Jan 30, 2016 199   Wagner L 63-73 46%     10 - 13 7 - 3 -15.1 -4.6 -11.3
  Feb 04, 2016 287   @ LIU Brooklyn L 74-77 46%     10 - 14 7 - 4 -8.1 -8.5 +0.6
  Feb 06, 2016 199   @ Wagner L 51-72 25%     10 - 15 7 - 5 -20.3 -13.1 -9.5
  Feb 11, 2016 298   Sacred Heart W 66-61 71%     11 - 15 8 - 5 -6.8 -11.2 +4.6
  Feb 13, 2016 297   St. Francis (PA) W 66-61 71%     12 - 15 9 - 5 -6.8 -14.4 +7.6
  Feb 18, 2016 351   @ Central Connecticut St. L 72-76 80%     12 - 16 9 - 6 -18.9 -9.1 -9.8
  Feb 20, 2016 343   @ Bryant W 71-53 70%     13 - 16 10 - 6 +6.4 -11.5 +16.8
  Feb 25, 2016 269   Fairleigh Dickinson L 54-67 63%     13 - 17 10 - 7 -22.6 -24.6 +1.4
  Feb 27, 2016 274   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 49-55 43%     13 - 18 10 - 8 -10.4 -21.5 +11.1
  Mar 02, 2016 274   @ St. Francis Brooklyn W 60-51 43%     14 - 18 +4.6 -4.7 +10.3
  Mar 05, 2016 269   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 75-80 41%     14 - 19 -8.7 -4.2 -4.5
Projected Record 14.0 - 19.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%